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Showing posts from March, 2022

Ukraine’s defence strategy is masterful, and may yet deliver a victory

https://www.smh.com.au/world/europe/ukraine-s-defence-strategy-is-masterful-and-may-yet-deliver-a-victory-20220328-p5a8qf.html Since late February, Western observers analysing the war in Ukraine have largely focussed on Russian strategy, as well as the performance of its military forces on the ground and in the air. That includes me. But like all wars, this is a two-sided and interactive human activity. Russia has made many errors. But Ukraine has played an inferior hand well. It is a country that is smaller in size, population, economy, and military forces than its invader. Why has it, so far, been successful at defending itself against the military forces of a nuclear-armed superpower? In short, Ukrainian strategic thinking has out-thought the Russian President and his advisors. What are the key elements of the Ukrainian strategy that have allowed this to happen? To understand the approach, we must first understand what political outcomes the Zelensky administration seeks from a war

Russian Economy

  Let's discuss Russian economy. Many underestimate its dependency upon technological import. Russia's so deeply integrated into Western technological chains that severing these ties will lead to its collapse. Sanctions are already effective and can be made even more efficient Some argue "Russia doesn't produce anything". Not quite. Although industrial goods plas little role in its export, it produces a lot for internal market. This is a 1ГПКС mining machine produced by a Копейский машзавод - monopolist on mining machines for potassium and coal mines   Owner of this factory isn't a mafia boss. He's an engineer who worked for 20 years designing mining machines, has 41 patents, etc. BUT. What equipment do they use to produce these machines? An industrial machine MORI SEIKI VL-553 II - made by a German branch of a Japanese company       This shows how deeply Russia is integrated into the Western technological chains. What Russia produces is produced on Wester